Posted by
Jonia on Wednesday, February 06, 2008 1:52:36 PM
Mitt Romney clearly lost yesterday. I hate having to say that. There are so many complex issues that I think led to this, however. I think some of this is what I call the big law firm syndrome. Companies often say they want to keep their legal costs down in order to keep prices down. BUT, when faced with major litigation they go to the big law firms. The problem is, big law firms are less efficient and more expensive than smaller, lesser-known firms. I have experience with watching partners call unnecessary meetings, change ideas on a whim, practice golf during phone meetings, etc., all showing just how non-cost conscious they are. Small firms (the outsiders) are more willing to prove themselves and have more incentive to keep costs down while doing a top-notch job. After all, many of the attorneys at these smaller firms came from the big firms. But when faced with fear of losing the companie will turn to the known names, the ones they're told will be most able to win for them. The cost of chosing the better-known firm is immense and is passed on to unwitting consumers. I think many voters chose to go with McCain yesterday because he is better known and therefore assumed, because they have been told this, to be more electable.
I also think, of course, that a century of the demonization of the Mormon church by other Christian religions played a role in yesterday's defeat. For a while some evangelicals were willing to forget how "evil" Mormons were (or they rationalized that his faith wasn't going to affect Romney's performance as president), but then came the deluge of anti-Mormon robocalls on election day to play on their spiritual insecurites. (Ironically, today - after all those tornadoes in the South - there will be a large number of Mormons who will show up to help clean up and provide help to those affected by the storms.) Once Huckabee seemed viable again by winning West Virginia (which he couldn't have won without he collusion with McCain) these evangelical-leaning voters decided they no longer had to take the risk with a Mormon.
I also think the demonization of northerners in the South played a role. Northeast sophisticate equates in many Southerners' minds to Kerry. Although both of the other candidates had as many serious flips or flops as Romney, that fact that Romney (the polished northeasterner) had flip-flops instinctively recalled their subconscious minds to John Kerry.
I also think that Romney LOOKED too successful, too rich, too polished. That makes people see just how ordinary most of us are and they didn't like it - even though Romney did nothing to purposely give that message. It is the envy of the rich kid on the playground mentality.
I attended two Romney rallies in Southern Californa. The man is dynamic. His ideas are fresh and he is full of hope for America. Of all the rallies I have attended over the years, these rallies were most Reaganesque in their energy and optimism. He is a man who has chosen to use his hard-earned wealth to try to make the country a better place. Some complain that this is an attempt to "buy the election." I, on the other hand, found it refreshing to see a candidate willing put his own money where his mouth is and pay his own way along the political trail.
Romney was our best chance to win in November and the only one of our candidates who coud have stood up against the youthful, energetic and optimistic Barack Obama. Unfortunately, though, short of a miracle we are stuck with a non-conservative as our candidate. And not just any non-conservative, but a pessimistic, bitter and grumpy old man non-conservative. He will be destroyed in the election if Obama is the Democrat's choice. Against Hillary he has a slightly better chance of survival, although he will find it hard going with the ostracized conservatives refusing to give money to his campaign and refusing to actively campaign for him in a grassroots movement.
Historians will have to judge what truly went wrong with this primary election. Only with historical hindsight will it be seen how these decisions made in January and February affected America's political history for the long-term.